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Abstract

Taiwan's democratization has directly challenged the KMT's auth-oritarian political regime and induced polarized national indentity con-frontation. This phenomena has become a major force in party politics in Taiwan. This paper has adopted the suvery datd as a result of a special research project commissioned by National Science Com-mission in 1994 to be reference of analysis. It is carried out on the basis of independence v.s. unification attitude of the constituency, comparing several recent suvery data distribution on the independence v.s. unification issue, and analyzing social basis of independence v.s. unification attitude, eithnic identuty, suport for political party, politi-cal trust, orientation of democratic values, and participation in elec-tion etc. as well as the relations between these variables and indepen-dence v.s. unification attitude, so as to ascertain whether independence v.s. unification issue being the key variable in the process of Taiwan's political democratization.

Abstract

This paper attempts to re-conceptualize party identification in Taiwan's multiparty system and to measure it empirically with the 1995 national legislative election survey data provided by the Election Study Center, National Chengchi University. The traditional uni-dimensional measurement of identification on the KMT and the DPP came across a hurdle when the New Party was formed in 1993. The replacing measure-ment of three categories, together with three levels of strength for each category, presents as an alternative solution to the problem. However, this measurement does not take into account the voters who identify political parties negatively, and it may be remedied by a new three-dimensional measurement. As detailed in this paper, the new measure-ment is able to find roughly 16 percent of negative party identifiders, and to more accurately locate different types of party identification in a multi-dimensional setting.

Abstract

When opinions are polarized in a bimodal pattern, parties will occupy the two poles of the political issue, retaining the support of the extremists. According to rational choice theory, on the other hand, voters have inadequate time to collect political information, thus they need a clear shortcut to reach decisions. Our first proposition is that issue polarizat ion will happen when political parties have long-term stances on certain issues. Our second proposition is that individual's issue position will decide one's voting behavior when polarization happens. To prove these two propositions, we examine how national identity and unification/independence issue transformed to the referendum issue in the 2004 presidential election. Our finding shows that whether or not picking up the referendum ballots indeed turned a polarized issue and it influenced voting behavior.

Abstract

The 2014 Taipei City mayoral election was overwhelmingly won by a grass-roots candidate, Dr. Wen-je Ko, who has been regarded as “Deep Green” in terms of Taiwan’s political spectrum, but promoted the slogan “One City One Family” for new white power in this campaign. The rooted voting behaviors described by traditional political territories in Taipei City were supposed to be on the verge of imminent collapse, and whether the signal of transcending ideological barriers for voting in this case was grounded in reality or myth, is still worth exploring. This study conducted several tests for trend analyses used in nonparametric statistics and interpreted new applications based on political territory in this mayoral election.
Furthermore, this study has three primary innovative perspectives. First, based on the voting database from the Central Election Commission for election studies, this study can explain how to utilize the basic unit of household address, such as Li, for building political territories, and our models presented the grouping political spectrum structures of voting behaviors of voters living in Taipei City by clustering analysis. This study can also develop a more novel approach to the combination of domestic political territory research and trend analyses embedded in nonparametric statistics, such as the Mann-Kendall test, the Theil-Sen's slope estimator, and Pettit test statistics for change-point detection, which are all adapted to analyze the trend characteristics for changing voting behaviors in Taipei City. Finally, based on built political territories, and linked with relevant concepts of political polarization, political party identity, and allocation effects when political parties drum up votes, the research results can determine and gain insight into the transcending of ideological barriers for voting in the 2014 Taipei City mayoral election.