Journal of Electoral Studies

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Home Issues Backissues Volume 31, No.2 Re-examining "Southern Politics" in Taiwan

Re-examining "Southern Politics" in Taiwan

Yung-Ming Hsu and Chang-Ping Lin
2009 / 05
Volume 16, No.1

pp.1-35
10.6612/tjes.2009.16.01.01-35
Paper

Abstract

Political blocs analysis was created with the stated objectives of generating information regarding the political nature of spatial aggregation. Following this tradition, this paper is aimed to investigate the effect of region, ethnic groups and electoral system on the Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) votes by using quantile regression model. The most important attribute of quantile regression models is that they not only allow to explore the overall significance of the independent (or explanatory) variables for the conditional distribution of the dependent (or response) variables, but at the same time make it possible to determine the varying influence that independent variables have on the dependent variables under distinct conditional distribution scenarios. We reach one conclusion that the DPP is a party whose political fortunate is very much determined by ethnic and regional characteristics.

Keywords

ethnic politics

quantile regression

southern politics

presidential election